Super Sunday brings another humdinger of a game this week in the shape of the Manchester derby between City and United.

Both teams go into the battle in indifferent form – Man City have only picked up 7 out of a possible 12 points at home this season, and the Red Devils are still awaiting their first win on the road in the 2014/15 campaign.


The blue half of Manchester will go into the game smarting from last weekend’s defeat at West Ham, but they will take heart from the fact that on their travels so far this campaign United have conceded, on average, two goals a game, and scored an average of 1.5. City, on the other hand, have an average goal-per-game ratio at home of 2 goals for and 1 against.

Both teams have a 50/50 record in the Under/Over 2.5 market this season, so there’s not much to learn from that statistic. The average margins are Man City (+1) and Man United (-0.5).

Predicted scoreline (based on averages) – Man City 2 v 1 Man United (15/2)

The two teams vary quite widely on where they score or concede their first goal in a game too. Pellegrini’s men average the 46th minute, and Van Gaal’s team the 13th minute.

Time of first goal – Man City 46-60th minute (6/1) Man United 1-15th minute (16/5)


It’s a tale of two halves in the corners market too. Man City dominate, with an average of 8.5 for and 4.3 against (margin of +4.3). Man United, meanwhile, have an average of 6.3 for and 2.3 against (margin of +4).

The average totals per game are 12.8 for City (Over 10.5 – 75%, Under 10.5 – 25%) and 8.5 for United (Over 10.5 – 25%, Under 10.5 – 75%).

Predicted corner count for the game (avg) – 10.65


The card statistics can largely go out of the window as this is bound to be fiery game, but for reference:

Manchester City

Cards for 7/1 (Red/Yellow), against 8/1.

Average points for 26.3, points against 26.3.

They have a 50/50 ratio in Over/Under 35.5 points per game.

Manchester United

Cards for 7/1 (Red/Yellow), against 4/0.

Average points for 23.8, points against 10.

They also have a 50/50 ratio in Over/Under 35.5 points per game.

Based on the above, the predicted card market will be 43 points (Man City 18, Man Utd 25).

First/Anytime Scorer

Sergio Aguero is currently the joint top goalscorer in the Premier League with eleven goals, so he looks a good bet at 7/2 (first or last). Alternatively, David Silva bagged City’s consolation against the Hammers on Saturday, and if you fancy the Spaniard to repeat the trick you can get him at 7/1 (first or last).

Man United have had an incredible eight different goalscorers so far this season, and Robin Van Persie – who has already been the first goalscorer on two occasions in 2014/15 – can be backed from 13/2 to do the damage again. And the mercurial Angel Di Maria, who has bagged three times so far, always offers great value at 11/1 (first or last).

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