Fulham v Wigan Betfair trading strategies - Lets

Fulham V Wigan Athletic will be an interesting game.  Wigan have played three teams in the top three recently have performed admirably, both in attack and midfield.  Wigan’s manager, Roberto Martinez, commented recently that they want to keep this performance going.  That’s no surprise, but, Wigan need to keep the goals coming to keep out of the relegation zone.

What Betfair trading strategies will suit this game?

Swing trading this game could produce some good results, either in the over under goals market or draw market.  The over under market looks like the better choice.  Here’s why.

Trading the under / over goals market.

There are three key reasons why trading over / under goals when Fulham play Wigan Athletic is a good opportunity for bet trading.  1) On average the time of the 1st goal for both teams is after 31 minutes. 2) The majority of games go over 2.5 goals.  That’s more than 75% of matches for Wigan and nearly 60% of matches for Fulham Athletic. 3) The Betfair odds on this match are 1.97.

Here’s how our trader would trade this match.  Lay over 2.5 goals.  The odds are low making the potential loss smaller in case the match ends with more than 2 goals if the trade has not been closed.

Using the time of first goal stats it is expected that there won’t be a goal scored for at least 10 to 15 minutes.  Over 2.5 goal odds lengthen if no goal is scored.  After placing a lay bet a trader can wait for the odds to lengthen and exit for a profit.

Trading the draw

Lay the draw could be a  good trading strategy for Fulham V Wigan Athletic.   The game looks set to produce more than 2 goals. Fulham enter the game as favourites although Wigan have performed well in their last three games.  This combination could produce a significant shift in draw odds in a profitable direction.

Using the right Betfair trading software both the draw market and over 2.5 goal market can be traded simultaneously.

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