We forecast a fiery encounter with Portugal playing Spain in the Euro 2012 semi finals.  The stats indicate that the score line will be 2-1 on the night to Spain. Cristiano Ronaldo is likelly to give Portugal an early lead with the sides likely to go in level at Half Time. Cesc Fabregas scores Spain’s winner, his 3rd goal at the finals. The Spanish enjoy more of the possession with the Portuguese picking up the most Cards. Let’s see how this game fits with the Betfair strategy of trading draw odds.

Spain are the favourites but their neighbour Portugal are not far behind in terms of odds.  Match draw odds should swing nicely if either Spain or Portugal score.

Here are the goal stats for Spain so far in the tournament.

Av. For Av. Against Av. Time of 1st Goal Under/Over 2.5
2.9 0.6 33 mins 27%   73%

Here are Portugal’s stats.

Av. For Av. Against Av. Time of 1st Goal Under/Over 2.5
2.4 1.3 28 mins 64%   36%

What indications are there that this match looks good for Betfair trading?

Both teams score plenty of goals.  As soon as a goal is scored the draw odds will increase producing a profitable exit point for the trade.

Don’t expect any goals in the first 20 minutes.  Cautious bet traders may want to wait for placing the draw lay bet in order to capture the best odds:  the odds decrease if no goal is scored.  By waiting profits will be increased.  Don’t have a Betfair account yet?  Get one now.

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