Swansea v Chelsea, Liberty Stadium
Sun 13 Apr 2014 16:07 Sky Sports
Referee: Phil Dowd
Despite the claims of manager Jose Mourinho, Chelsea are still in the Premier League title race but they will have to rely on other results going their way if they are to claim their fifth crown.
The trip to the Liberty Stadium will not be easy for Mourinho’s men as Swansea are still not clear of the relegation battle. But a win would almost certainly guarantee safety for the Welsh side. When the teams met at Stamford Bridge earlier in the season, Chelsea won the game by just a single goal despite a dominant performance.

The team from London will be without star player Eden Hazard and there have been rumours that John Terry may also miss out. Mohamed Salah is cup-tied for the Champions League, so he will be expected to start in most of the remaining league games and could be a key player in the title run-in. Meanwhile, Swansea have the luxury of all of their first choice players available for selection.

The two previous Premier League meetings between these sides both finished 1-1 and that score line would suit The Swans much more than the visitors, so let’s see what the statistics suggest.

Swansea have scored in 94% of their home games this season, having failed to find the net just once against West Ham back in October. There has been over 2.5 goals in 75% of their home games although Chelsea’s away games have been less fruitful with just 37.5% producing the same result.

The statistics and historical results point to a tight game with Swansea almost certain to score and Chelsea having a 62.5% of also finding the net. The Blues did fail to score in their last two away games against Aston Villa and Crystal Palace – both of which ended 1-0 – and a repeat of that result is not out of the question.

However, with the Londoners still on a high after their mid-week Champions League triumph, they should have enough motivation to avoid a third straight away defeat.

There is no appeal in the goal betting or corner betting markets for this game so look at the match betting and correct score markets for the best value. Bet365 are offering 7/1 on a third straight 1-1 draw at the Liberty stadium between these two sides and the stats certainly make that bet the stand out choice for this game. With Swansea’s good record of scoring at home – the 3/1 offered by Bwin for Wilfried Bony to score anytime is also a decent price.

Match prediction: Swansea 1-1 Chelsea

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