The Over 2.5 Goals market is the perfect market for fans of football statistics, and if you are going to bet on a regular basis, you should learn to love those stats!
With over a quarter of the season gone in most European leagues, there is now a good sample size of games available for analysis. This makes it much easier to spot reliable trends in all our favourite markets.
So who are the current top performers in the Over 2.5 Goals market? If we take a look at the English leagues and the most popular tiers of the top European and USA leagues, we get the following results.
When playing at home
If we look at teams with a strike rate of 85% or above, we get a list of 11 teams that excel in this category:
- Bayern Munich (Bundesliga) – 100%
- Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga) – 100%
- Sevilla (La Liga) – 100%
- Colombus Crew SC (MLS Eastern) – 88.9%
- Chesterfield (League One) – 87.5%
- York City (League two) – 87.5%
- Cagliari (Serie B) – 85.7%
- Forfar Athletic (Scottish League One) – 85.7%
- Freiburg (2. Bundesliga) – 85.7%
- Rangers (Scottish Championship) – 85.7%
- PEC Zwolle (Eredivisie) – 85.7%
When playing away
If we look at teams with a strike rate of 85% or above, we get a list of 14 teams that excel in this category:
- Espanyol (La Liga) – 100%
- PAOK FC (Superleague Greece) – 100%
- Rio Ave (Primeira Liga) – 100%
- Scunthorpe (League One) – 100%
- Stuttgart (Bundesliga) – 100%
- Colchester (League One) – 87.5%
- Crawley Town (League Two) – 87.5%
- Dagenham and Redbridge (League Two) – 87.5%
- KVC Westerlo (Belgian Pro League) – 87.5%
- Helsingborgs IF (Allsvenskan) – 86.7%
- Nurnberg (2.Bundesliga) – 85.7%
- PSV Eindhoven (Eredivisie) – 85.7%
- St Johnstone (Scottish Premiership) – 85.7%
- Zulte Waragem (Belgian Pro League) – 85.7%
Best combined total – home and away
For our final list, let’s narrow it down to the teams that have the best combined strike rate at home and away. If we look at teams with a strike rate of 80% or above, we get a list of five teams that excel in both categories:
- Rangers (Scottish Championship) – 84.6%
- Bayern Munich (Bundesliga) – 83.3%
- Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga) – 83.3%
- Celta de Vigo (La Liga) – 81.8%
- PAOK FC (Superleague Greece) – 80.0%
So now you have a comprehensive list of teams to keep an eye on in this category. If you see any of these teams available at a decent price in their respective home or away games, then you should consider adding them to your betting slip. If one team on the list is playing another, then you have an even better chance of picking a winner in this market.
Obviously, these are the kind of stats that successful punters keep an eye on, but in this case, we have done the work for you!
For the best Over 2.5 Goals prices check out Betfair.