[twocol_one]As footballers stop topping up their tans, it’s time to cast a eye forward to the new Premiership season. Looking at football betting data and statistics reveal some really useful betting trends for the forth coming premiership season. As bookmakers price up their antepost odds for the new Premiership se ason it’s time to look at the top football bets for 2011 / 2012.[/twocol_one] [twocol_one_last][box type=”download” style=”rounded” border=”full”]A complete guide to football betting on the 2011/12 Premeirship season.  Download this guide free courtesy of Smart Betting Club.  There is something for everyone.  Including some great tips using research carried out on home / away team results, which is as good as the tips in this post.  It will open in the browser window (otherwise right click and select save as, then open once saved).[/box] [/twocol_one_last]

goal betting on the 2011 / 2012 season

Football bet number 1.

team to score most goals

Some bookmakers are asking punters to predict which team will score the most premierhips goals for the for the news season. The markets leaders are as follow, at the time of going to press.

Man City 9/2
Liverpool 7/1
Man Utd 8/1
Chelsea 9/1
Tottenham 10/1

Which team was top scorer in the Premier League last season?

Premier League 2010/11

Man U
Man City
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Last seasons goal scored numbers can help us forecast for the coming season.
[box type=”tick” style=”rounded” border=”full”]Man United have a high average goal score, coupled with Alex Furgesson’s skill of reinventing the Man U team 8/1 on Man United scoring most goals look good.[/box]

Football bet number 2.

Keeping with the Manchester United theme, lets look at another goal betting trend.

When playing at home Man United scored the first goal in all of their games last season. That’s a 100% strike rate. On average it took 29 minutes to score the first goal at Old Trafford. Bookies offer first team to score bets. Understandably bookies price the home team as favourite when it comes to which team will score first. Get the best odds.

[box type=”tick” style=”rounded” border=”full”]Man United to score first at home is a good bet.[/box]

Football bet number 3.

Guess which teams hold the record for most home games points in Premier League history. Surprise suprise it’s Chelsea FC under Jose Mourinho in 2005/06 and you’ve guesed it Manchester United for last seasons 55 points won at home out of 80.
[box type=”tick” style=”rounded” border=”full”]A win bet for Man United to win at home is well supported by that statistics that show that they won 95% of games played at home last season. [/box]

Man U also have a great defensive record when they play at home. Letting in just 12 goals all season, or 0.6 goals per game. That’s great for under 2.5 goal bets and straight win bets.

Bookings points betting

Football bet number 4.

Some referrees don’t like disrupting the flow of the game. It produces better entertainment for the fans. Mark Halsey is the worst. Games refereed by Mark Halsey have produced a low number of bookings in the majority of games.

For people not sure about bookings points bets, here’s an explanation. Bookmakers represent bookings as ponits or cards.

[twocol_one][box type=”info” style=”rounded”]Yellow card = 10 bookings points
Red card = 25 bookings points
An automatic red is made by 1 player getting two yellow cards = 35 bookings points

The maximum bookings points per player is 35 points.[/box] [/twocol_one] [twocol_one_last][box type=”info” style=”rounded”]For the cards system. A yellow card = 1 card, a red card = 2 cards, and 2 yellow cards give an automatic red = 3 cards. The most cards a player can get is 3.[/box][/twocol_one_last]

Bookmakers give ‘under’ ‘over’ bets on the total number of bookings points or cards. The benchmark is normally 35.5 bookings points.

[box type=”tick” style=”rounded” border=”full”]An ‘under’ 35.5 bookings point bets on games refereed by Mark Halsey are a good bet, backed up by the fact that 95% of Mark’s games have produced less than 35.5 bookings points last season.[/box]

Football bet number 5.

Team bookings point bets. Match these to Mark Halsey’s games and you get some really high confidence bets.  Which teams are likely to get under 35.5 bookings points?

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  • 74% of Blackpool FC’s away games produced less than 35.5 bookings points with an average of 28 points per game.
  • Tottenham FC had an average of 29 bookings points per match, with 74% producing less than 35.5 bookings points.
  • West Ham FC’s away games produced less than 35.5 bookings points in 74% of games. With an average of 23 per match.


Which teams are likely to get more than 35.5 bookings points?

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  • Arsenal FC’s home games produced more than 35.5 bookings points in 74% of games, with an average of 48 points per match.
  • 74% of Tottenham FC’s home games went over 35.5 bookings points, with an average of 44 points per match.


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2 responses to “Top 5 football bets for the 2011 / 2012 premiership football season”

  1. Rooney to be top goal scorer. I think bookies are offering a good price for this.

    • Good choice. Don’t forget to check the bookmaker’s rule 4 for antepost bets. That’s bets made in advance of the actual event.

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